《财务金融建模》在理论与实践之间架起了一座桥梁，它提供了运用Excel电子表解决一般财务与金融建模问题的具体操作过程，告诉读者每个模型的实现步骤，说明了它们是如何用Excel来求解的。 期待已久的这部标准教科书的第三版继承了财务金融“食谱大全”和使用Excel工具的特点。这也是第一版和第二版之所以备受欢迎的原因。此外它还增加了非常新的内容，这些新章节涉及的主题包括：银行估值、最优化投资组合的Black-Litterman方法、蒙特卡罗方法及其在期权定价中的应用，以及数组函数和公式的使用；其他的章节包括：基本的财务计算、投资组合模型、计算方差—协方差矩阵，以及随机数生成。以上内容经过了修订，并采用了许多全新和已改进的资料。其他涉及领域包括：财务报表建模、租赁、标准的投资组合问题、受险价值、久期与免疫策略、期限结构建模。技术章节涉及的主题包括：模拟运算表、矩阵、高斯一塞德尔方法，以及使用Excel的提示。最后一部分内容涉及本书所需要的VBA技术。 本书光盘中含有各章例题的Excel工作表和习题解答。

《技术分析》（第四版）是当前投资决策领域最佳的技术分析专著。本书详细指导投资者如何准确预测股价走势，其预测精度可与华尔街最负盛名的专业人士相媲美，提供给你运用技术分析获得收益的全套秘诀。 本书为适应21世纪股票市场的分析技术和交易方式而做了全面的修订和更新，主要具有以下几个特点：运用技术指标预测有规律的市场转折点，让你从中获利；心理策略能使投资者凭直觉知道从何处获利，让你掌握先机；为提高预测精度，提倡采用当前最先进的交易技巧与分析方法。

《让你赚大钱》这本书中，清崎和川普为你指明了方向，他们的建议是：1、赢家和一般人的区别是：他们总能慎思明辩。2、做投资者，而不是储蓄者。3、为了赢而投资，而不是为了保本而投资。4、你只能投资两样东西：时间和金钱。 5、60岁想致富？一点也不晚。6、投资房地产。收租为先、少想增值。7、不只当员工，也要变股东。8、巧用网络营销，成功离你不远。 未来的社会，只有10%的人算是有钱人，其余90%会变成等级不同的穷人。在这个充满不确定性的时代，如果你还以为努力工作、存钱、分散投资，就是最好的选择，你会发现自己的钱将越来越少。完全不投资或为了保本而投资，最终只能使你沦为90%的穷人行列。只有为了赢而投资的人，才有机会成为10%的有钱人。

The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials.In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions - among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050.Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome "Why Stock Markets Crash" as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome - but no longer quite so unfathomable - world of stock markets.

在线阅读本书 Book Description Human existence is based upon risk. This text charts the adventures of a group of thinkers who embarked on a voyage of intellectual discovery, transforming primeval superstition into the powerful tools of risk control employed today. Amazon.com With the stock market breaking records almost daily, leaving longtime market analysts shaking their heads and revising their forecasts, a study of the concept of risk seems quite timely. Peter Bernstein has written a comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability, beginning with early gamblers in ancient Greece, continuing through the 17th-century French mathematicians Pascal and Fermat and up to modern chaos theory. Along the way he demonstrates that understanding risk underlies everything from game theory to bridge-building to winemaking. From Publishers Weekly Risk management, which assumes that future risks can be understood, measured and to some extent predicted, is the focus of this solid, thoroughgoing history. Probability theory, pioneered by 17th-century French mathematicians Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat, has made possible the design of great bridges, electric power utilities and insurance policies. The statistical sampling methods invented by dour Swiss scientist Jacob Bernoulli undergird diverse activities such as the testing of new drugs, stock-picking and wine tasting. Bernstein (Capital Ideas) animates his narrative with a colorful cast of risk-analyzers, including gambling addict Girolamo Cardano, 16th-century Italian physician to the Pope; and John Maynard Keynes, whose concerns over economic uncertainty compelled him to recommend an active, interventionist role for government. Bernstein also traces the development of business forecasting, game theory, insurance and derivatives, and surveys recent advances in risk forecasting made possible through chaos theory and by the development of neural networks. From Library Journal For several centuries, mathematics has been the language of the exact sciences. Only in the 20th century has mathematics become predominant in other fields, particularly economics and finance. In this book, Bernstein (Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street, LJ 12/91), head of an economic consulting firm, traces the development of probability theory from its beginnings in analyzing games of chance, through its application to statistical theory and insurance, up to its present use in developing investment strategies to control risk. He includes excellent sections on portfolio analysis and on investments in derivatives. Bernstein clearly describes the people, their work, and the events that have revolutionized the thinking on Wall Street. A worthwhile acquisition for business and math collections. 　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　Harold D. Shane, Baruch Coll., CUNY From Booklist Bernstein's lively history chronicles a profound transformation in attitudes about the future. How one's fate changed from depending less on capricious outcomes and more on predictable ones forms the backbone of the narrative. His central characters are mathematicians who began pondering the statistics of gambling, or gamblers pondering the risks of gambling: about one sixteenth-century polymath, Girolamo Cardano, Bernstein writes that his "credentials as a gambling addict alone would justify his appearance in the history of risk," and that comment is typical of Bernstein's engaging presentation. Amid his recounting of the insights into probability from Pascal to Keynes, he touches on an array of modern fields in which risk analysis is crucial--insurance, commodities futures, stock markets, and that old standard, gambling. This cornucopia of biographical sketches, mathematical examples, and reflections on the nature of human expectations about the future faces little risk of idling in libraries; patrons of the business section might be keenest to read it. 　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　Gilbert Taylor From AudioFile Jesse Boggs honed his expressive, laid-back vocal style narrating his own award-winning documentaries. Here, as reader and abridger, he goes a long way to clarify Bernstein's convoluted theory of risk management. His careful phrasing also brings into high relief the sweeping generalizations and questionable axioms that give pause to the analytic listener. Only in this careful frame of mind can one separate wheat from chaff and learn whatever this book has to teach. Y.R. The Washington Post Book World, September 20, 1998 AGAINST THE GODS appeared in the "Washington Is Also Reading..." section of The Washington Post Book World. The book is described as, "A comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability, from ancient gamblers in Greece to modern chaos theory." Book Dimension length: (cm)22.7 　　　 　　　　　 　　　　　 width:(cm)15.2